ClaimLens
Pair-blinded visual probes and deterministic host decisions for auditable scientific-figure claim verification.
The microscopy frame is a copyright-safe illustration. The masked-probe behavior, deterministic verdict mapping, and aggregate metrics come from the executed frozen v0.4.3 experiment.
The held-out result
ClaimLens and the direct baseline were statistically tied on overall accuracy. The interesting result is the changed failure profile—not a fabricated benchmark win.
Separate visual measurement from judgment
The direct baseline sees one claim and writes a verdict. ClaimLens instead measures the changed concept once, validates the transaction, and lets deterministic code map that evidence to both counterfactual claims.
Capability tradeoffs
| Metric | ClaimLens | Direct baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 59.0% | 57.0% |
| Macro-F1 | 58.6% | 58.4% |
| SUPPORT recall | 48.0% | 69.0% |
| CONTRADICT recall | 58.0% | 56.0% |
| NEUTRAL recall | 71.0% | 46.0% |
| S/C pair separation | 65.0% | 60.0% |
| Exact triplets | 29.0% | 17.0% |
| Schema validity | 100.0% | 99.3% |
Accuracy was prespecified as the primary endpoint. Recall, pair separation, and exact triplets are secondary diagnostics.
The audit is part of the result
What the system verified
- 100/100 SUPPORT–CONTRADICT pairs used identical prompt bytes and source order.
- 300/300 agent outputs had complete traces and valid schemas.
- Metrics and the generated report reproduced byte-for-byte from raw predictions.
- The held-out set contained zero development clusters and zero exact label conflicts.
- 110 benchmark base claims touching impossible cross-label duplicates were excluded before sampling.
What the audit found
- SUPPORT recall fell by 21 points because the agent over-predicted NEUTRAL.
- All agent certainty values were HIGH, so confidence was not calibrated.
- Only 26/300 decisions cited a crop; no crop-benefit claim is justified.
- A lexical normalization ignored comparator scope in one paired transaction.
- Removing that normalization changed one answer and left the statistical conclusion unchanged.
Engineering contributions
VLM orchestration
Label-free counterfactual differencing, masked option construction, OCR-ranked multiscale sources, strict structured outputs, one logged repair attempt, and persisted pair-level cache reuse.
Evaluation infrastructure
Cluster-preserving selection, split and plan fingerprints, conflict auditing, resumable inference, complete raw traces, deterministic rescoring, per-label failure analysis, and paired cluster-bootstrap uncertainty.
Scope and limitations
- ClaimLens is explicitly pair-aware and is not presented as a general single-claim classifier.
- MuSciClaims contradictions are controlled perturbations rather than natural scientific disputes.
- Deterministic host logic prevents label inconsistency; it cannot prevent visual perception errors.
- Exact-triplet accuracy is 29%, so substantial headroom remains.
- The frozen primary result is inconclusive and should not be described as “beating” the baseline.